Turnover Index Week 14

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 14. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the market overvalues defensive turnovers when judging team strength. See here and here for more background.

We went 0-2 with our Week 13 bets, and our bankroll dropped by $23 from $1,046 to $1,023. We are now just 6-6 against the spread on the season, with an ROI of 2.3%. Bets are sized according to the Kelly criterion.

Here are the 2016 season to date results:

week	bets	won	starting bankroll	amount bet	profits	ending bankroll
6	1	0	$1,000	$36 (3.6%)	($36)	$963
7	1	1	$963	$10 (1.1%)	$9	$973
8	1	1	$973	$38 (4.0%)	$35	$1,008
9	3	2	$1,008	$64 (6.4%)	$51	$1,060
10	2	1	$1,060	$15 (1.5%)	($7)	$1,052
12	2	1	$1,052	$13 (1.3%)	($6)	$1,046
13	2	0	$1,046	$23 (2.2%)	($23)	$1,023