Turnover Index Week 16

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 16. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the market overvalues defensive turnovers when judging team strength. See here and here for more background.

Of our two picks from week 15, one pushed and the other lost. But due to bet size, the net effect on bankroll amounted to a rounding error (for the second week in a row).

Here are the season to date results:

week	bets	won	starting bankroll	amount bet	profits	ending bankroll
6	1	1	$1,000	$40 (4.1%)	$37	$1,037
7	3	1	$1,037	$79 (7.7%)	($29)	$1,008
9	2	1	$1,008	$66 (6.6%)	($51)	$956
10	3	1	$956	$43 (4.6%)	$3	$959
11	1	1	$959	$11 (1.2%)	$10	$970
12	3	2	$970	$45 (4.7%)	($34)	$935
13	1	1	$935	$13 (1.4%)	$12	$948
14	1	1	$948	$0 (0.1%)	$0	$948
15	2	0.5	$948	$12 (1.3%)	($0)	$948

We are now 9-7-1 against the spread, with a negative ROI of -5%. We have two bets this week. Note that this will be the last week of bets for this season, as the Turnover Index takes off week 17.