inpredictable

2015 Early Season Power Rankings - The Results

December 31, 2015

In which we rank the rankings... Power rankings are everywhere, but how do we know if they are any good? If they are intended to be predic...

The Colts are alive, but play a virtually meaningless game today

December 27, 2015

Owing to a strange confluence of tiebreaker scenarios, the Colts' game today against the Dolphins has virtually no impact on its playoff...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 16

December 26, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 16 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 16

December 26, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 16. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

In the AFC, Strength of Victory Could Determine the Postseason

December 24, 2015

Professional sports tiebreaking procedures tend to be an exercise in multiple redundancy . In the NFL, to break a tie within a division, t...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 15

December 19, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 15 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 15

December 19, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 15. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 14

December 13, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 14 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Stephen Curry is No Stat-Padder

December 12, 2015

It's been kind of under the radar , but Stephen Curry is having quite the season. He leads the league in a variety of box score s...

Turnover Index Week 14

December 12, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 14. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 13

December 06, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 13 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 13

December 05, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 13. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 12

November 28, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 12 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 12

November 24, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 12. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 11

November 21, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 11 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 11

November 18, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 11. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

Live Ball vs Dead Ball Turnovers

November 15, 2015

Last season, I added a new feature to the site which allowed for a deeper dive into NBA team per possession efficiency . Per possession effi...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 10

November 14, 2015

Here are the playoff implications for the NFL's week 10 games. The purpose of this feature is to highlight games that have a signifi...

Turnover Index Week 10

November 14, 2015

Here are the Turnover Index picks and results for week 10. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the mark...

NFL Playoff Implications Week 9

November 08, 2015

Unfortunately, weekly playoff implications will not be featured on FiveThirtyEight this season. But, I was able to dust off the code fr...

Turnover Index Week 9

November 04, 2015

In the week 7 writeup of the Turnover Index , I flagged the Jets as a team that may regress from its strong 4-1 start. Since that time, th...

New Live Feature: The "SO" calculator

October 31, 2015

You were so preoccupied with whether or not you could, you didn't stop to think whether you should. Depending on your perspective, ...

Turnover Index Week 8

October 29, 2015

Unfortunately, there are no bets this week that satisfy our wagering criteria, but here are the week seven results:

Turnover Index Week 7 - Expect the Jets to Regress

October 21, 2015

We're off to a good start for the 2015 season. Our first bet against the spread was successful, with the Browns covering (just barely)...

The Return of the Turnover Index

October 14, 2015

Make money betting on the NFL with this one simple trick! For the past three NFL seasons, I have been publishing picks against the s...

NFL Week Four Power Ranking Roundup

October 11, 2015

This time last year, nobody was quite sure what to make of the 2-2 Patriots. In my power ranking roundup post from last year , here is where...

PitchF/x for the NBA

October 10, 2015

One of sports analytics' first "big data" moments came with Major League Baseball's introduction of PitchF/x in 2006. Wit...

NFL Market Rankings and the Inequities of Playoff Seeding

September 07, 2015

The Top Five With the regular season just a few days away, my market based NFL rankings are now up and running. These update daily a...

Kind of a Drag

August 22, 2015

Just a heads up that this post is pretty heavy on math and physics: differential equations, integrals, drag coefficients, air density at v...

Vegas Never Doubted Clayton Kershaw

August 20, 2015

San Diego's Petco Park The most "pitcher friendly" park in the league according to the market After a long hiatus, betting...

How Much Actual Time is Left in the Game?

June 14, 2015

The Persistence of NBA Game Time Close games in the NBA can somewhat of a mixed blessing. As the drama increases, the pace tends to drag...

Subscribe to: Posts ( Atom )