Turnover Index - Week 11
There are no picks that satisfy our betting criteria this week, but here is a check in on last week's performance. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the market overvalues defensive turnovers when judging team strength. See here and here for more background.
Week 10 results
No games satisfy our betting criteria this week, but here are updated results from Week 10.
Our two Week 10 picks went 2-0 against the spread, with both the Chiefs and the Jets covering. So, we're off to a good start. Here are the season to date results:
Our two Week 10 picks went 2-0 against the spread, with both the Chiefs and the Jets covering. So, we're off to a good start. Here are the season to date results:
- Against the Spread: 5-1-0
- Starting Bankroll: $1,000
- Current Bankroll: $1,077 (8% ROI)
Here is the week by week performance:
| week | bets | won | starting bankroll | amount bet | profits | ending bankroll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | $1,000 | $51 (5.2%) | $47 | $1,047 |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | $1,047 | $26 (2.6%) | $1 | $1,048 |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | $1,048 | $32 (3.1%) | $29 | $1,077 |
The "Old" Index
Under the original, simpler betting approach (bet any game with at least a 10 defensive turnover differential between the teams), season to date results for 2014 are 4-0 against the spread.
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