Here is an update to the Playoff Seed probability motion chart I first published at the All Star break. I use my team rankings to simulate the remainder of the regular season and then apply the seed tiebreaker rules. The simulations are run daily and archived. The motion chart takes this archive and displays how each team's seed probabilities have evolved over the course of the season. I'll try to keep this updated on a daily basis for the remainder of the regular season, just check back here.
2/3/2013 Update: A more mobile friendly version of the chart: Squares Payouts . My most recent two posts covered the concept of in-game ...
This post has been in the works for several months now, and is the result of a deep dive into the NBA's SportVU motion tracking data . ...
In a recent post for FiveThirtyEight , Carl Bialik took a look at the length of college basketball games, particularly the grueling slog t...
The odds of winning a game when down by 6 with 18 seconds left are approximately 250 to 1 . Last month , I rolled out a new version of m...
Phil Jackson, 1986 : "We'd try to take some air out of the ball. You see, on the ball it says something like 'inflate ...
In this post I will lay out an approach for measuring clutch play in the NBA, using my win probability model as the underlying framewor...
2/3/2013 Update: A more mobile friendly version of the chart: Squares Payouts . My most recent two posts covered the concept of in-game ...
This post has been in the works for several months now, and is the result of a deep dive into the NBA's SportVU motion tracking data . ...
In this post I will lay out an approach for measuring clutch play in the NBA, using my win probability model as the underlying framewor...
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