US Open Daily Graph - Murray vs Wawrinka
Stanislas Wawrinka, a 3 to 1 underdog against Wimbledon champion Andy Murray, pulled off the upset with a straight set victory. See below for the win probability graph. A key turning point in the match came in the second set. Wawrinka won 12 straight points, dropping Murray's win probability from 57% to 32%.
| Andy Murray | 4 | 3 | 2 | Excitement | 3.3 | |
| Stanislas Wawrinka | 6 | 6 | 6 | Comeback | 3.4 |
| Point Probabilities (Model Inputs) | ||
| Player | Serve | Return |
| Murray | 0.648 | 0.398 |
| Wawrinka | 0.602 | 0.352 |
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