Win probability graph for Game 7. Top play was Mario Chalmers' buzzer beating three pointer to end the third quarter. Lebron's pull up jumper with 0:27 on the clock will probably dominate the highlight reel, but it was the 24th most important play in terms of win probability. Tim Duncan's miss from point blank range had a much bigger impact on the game. More background
here and
here.
| San Antonio Spurs | 88 | | Excitement | 5.7 |
| Miami Heat | 95 | | Comeback | 0.8 |
| TOP PLAYS |
|---|
| Prior State | Play | End State | Before | Change | After |
|---|
| Q3 | 0:05 | SAS:71 MIA:69 | Poss:MIA | Mario Chalmers makes 30-foot three point jumper | Q3 | 0:00 | SAS:71 MIA:72 | Poss:SAS | 58.7% | +10.3% | 69.0% |
| Q4 | 2:15 | SAS:85 MIA:90 | Poss:SAS | Kawhi Leonard makes 25-foot three point jumper (Manu Ginobili assists) | Q4 | 2:00 | SAS:88 MIA:90 | Poss:MIA | 93.3% | -9.6% | 83.7% |
| Q4 | 11:45 | SAS:71 MIA:72 | Poss:MIA | Shane Battier makes 23-foot three point jumper (LeBron James assists) | Q4 | 11:34 | SAS:71 MIA:75 | Poss:SAS | 70.5% | +9.5% | 80.1% |
| Q4 | 1:34 | SAS:88 MIA:90 | Poss:SAS | LeBron James offensive rebound | Q4 | 1:04 | SAS:88 MIA:90 | Poss:MIA | 78.3% | +9.3% | 87.5% |
| Q4 | 0:47 | SAS:88 MIA:90 | Poss:SAS | Tim Duncan misses hook shot (Chris Bosh defensive rebound) | Q4 | 0:42 | SAS:88 MIA:90 | Poss:MIA | 80.6% | +9.3% | 89.8% |
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