College Basketball Team Rankings - February 20, 2012
Despite losing on the road to Michigan on Saturday, Ohio State was able to reclaim its spot at the top of these rankings. Most of the "subjective" rankings have Michigan State as the best team in the Big Ten at this point, and some even have the other Michigan ranked above them as well.
Vanderbilt had a good week, moving up from #29 to #16, although I'm not sure I believe that ranking, as it was a result of games played against pretty mediocre competition (Ole Miss and Georgia). But then again, both victories were on the road, and convincing (especially against Ole Miss). This all makes this Saturday's Vanderbilt-Florida matchup interesting. Florida is ranked #12 in the AP poll right now, while Vanderbilt is currently unranked. But since the game will be played at Vanderbilt, according to these rankings they should be favored over Florida, by about 2 points (11.5 GPF - 13.5 GPF + 4 point home court advantage).
Murray State is now a legitimate top 64 team according to these rankings (#57, identical to kenpom). But they're still nowhere near the AP and Coaches poll rankings of #14 and #12, respectively.
Time permitting, I hope to make a separate post on what this past weekend's games point spreads told us about inter-conference strength, as there were about 50 games played between conferences, after about a month and a half of nearly all intra-conference games.
The Rankings (glossary below)
| Other Rankings | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | LstWk | GPF | Conf | SOS | GWP | KenPom | AP | Coaches | ||
| 1 | Ohio St. | 2 | 19.0 | B10 | 1 | 7.0 | 4 | 0.96 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Kentucky | 1 | 18.5 | SEC | 1 | 3.0 | 63 | 0.95 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Syracuse | 3 | 17.0 | BE | 1 | 3.5 | 51 | 0.94 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| 4 | Kansas | 4 | 17.0 | B12 | 1 | 6.0 | 12 | 0.94 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Michigan St. | 7 | 16.5 | B10 | 2 | 6.5 | 9 | 0.94 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | North Carolina | 5 | 15.0 | ACC | 1 | 4.0 | 47 | 0.92 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Missouri | 6 | 15.0 | B12 | 2 | 4.5 | 40 | 0.92 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Duke | 8 | 14.5 | ACC | 2 | 5.0 | 31 | 0.92 | 13 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Florida | 10 | 13.5 | SEC | 2 | 5.0 | 26 | 0.90 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 14 | 12.5 | MWC | 1 | 1.0 | 106 | 0.89 | 9 | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Wichita St. | 9 | 12.0 | MVC | 1 | 2.5 | 79 | 0.88 | 10 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Baylor | 15 | 12.0 | B12 | 3 | 8.0 | 1 | 0.88 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | 11 | 12.0 | B10 | 3 | 7.0 | 6 | 0.88 | 6 | 16 | 15 |
| 14 | Georgetown | 20 | 12.0 | BE | 2 | 5.5 | 24 | 0.88 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | California | 16 | 12.0 | P12 | 1 | 3.0 | 69 | 0.88 | 18 | ||
| 16 | Vanderbilt | 29 | 11.5 | SEC | 3 | 5.5 | 25 | 0.87 | 24 | ||
| 17 | Marquette | 13 | 11.5 | BE | 3 | 5.0 | 28 | 0.87 | 16 | 10 | 10 |
| 18 | Louisville | 21 | 11.5 | BE | 4 | 5.0 | 33 | 0.87 | 25 | 17 | 17 |
| 19 | Indiana | 18 | 11.0 | B10 | 4 | 7.5 | 2 | 0.87 | 15 | 23 | 24 |
| 20 | UNLV | 12 | 11.0 | MWC | 2 | 2.5 | 73 | 0.86 | 29 | 21 | 20 |
| 21 | Michigan | 19 | 10.5 | B10 | 5 | 7.5 | 3 | 0.85 | 23 | 11 | 13 |
| 22 | West Virginia | 26 | 10.0 | BE | 5 | 5.5 | 19 | 0.85 | 36 | ||
| 23 | Texas | 27 | 10.0 | B12 | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | 0.84 | 22 | ||
| 24 | Connecticut | 25 | 10.0 | BE | 6 | 6.0 | 13 | 0.84 | 39 | ||
| 25 | Saint Louis | 17 | 10.0 | A10 | 1 | 1.0 | 107 | 0.84 | 11 | ||
| 26 | Florida St. | 24 | 10.0 | ACC | 3 | 4.0 | 45 | 0.84 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | BYU | 32 | 9.5 | WCC | 1 | 0.0 | 135 | 0.83 | 32 | ||
| 28 | Gonzaga | 22 | 9.5 | WCC | 2 | 0.5 | 113 | 0.83 | 33 | ||
| 29 | Notre Dame | 52 | 9.0 | BE | 7 | 6.0 | 11 | 0.82 | 38 | 20 | 18 |
| 30 | UCLA | 23 | 9.0 | P12 | 2 | 2.5 | 77 | 0.82 | 54 | ||
| 31 | Memphis | 41 | 9.0 | CUSA | 1 | 3.0 | 60 | 0.82 | 19 | ||
| 32 | Kansas St. | 33 | 8.5 | B12 | 5 | 5.0 | 32 | 0.81 | 26 | ||
| 33 | Temple | 57 | 8.5 | A10 | 2 | 1.5 | 93 | 0.81 | 31 | 22 | 22 |
| 34 | Long Beach St. | 40 | 8.5 | BW | 1 | 0.5 | 112 | 0.80 | 44 | ||
| 35 | Illinois | 36 | 8.5 | B10 | 6 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.80 | 63 | ||
| 36 | Creighton | 30 | 8.5 | MVC | 2 | 2.0 | 82 | 0.80 | 37 | ||
| 37 | Virginia | 38 | 8.5 | ACC | 4 | 3.0 | 59 | 0.80 | 20 | 25 | |
| 38 | Cincinnati | 34 | 7.5 | BE | 8 | 4.0 | 43 | 0.78 | 40 | ||
| 39 | Arizona | 54 | 7.5 | P12 | 3 | 3.0 | 64 | 0.78 | 41 | ||
| 40 | Purdue | 28 | 7.5 | B10 | 7 | 5.5 | 21 | 0.77 | 35 | ||
| 41 | Northwestern | 48 | 7.0 | B10 | 8 | 7.0 | 5 | 0.76 | 50 | ||
| 42 | Clemson | 58 | 7.0 | ACC | 5 | 2.0 | 91 | 0.76 | 76 | ||
| 43 | Pittsburgh | 35 | 7.0 | BE | 9 | 5.5 | 20 | 0.76 | 97 | ||
| 44 | Iowa St. | 50 | 7.0 | B12 | 6 | 4.0 | 42 | 0.76 | 34 | ||
| 45 | Washington | 43 | 7.0 | P12 | 4 | 3.5 | 54 | 0.76 | 65 | ||
| 46 | Mississippi St. | 56 | 7.0 | SEC | 4 | 1.0 | 105 | 0.76 | 81 | ||
| 47 | VA Commonwealth | 55 | 7.0 | CAA | 1 | -2.0 | 181 | 0.76 | 43 | ||
| 48 | Minnesota | 39 | 6.5 | B10 | 9 | 4.0 | 44 | 0.75 | 51 | ||
| 49 | Iona | 59 | 6.5 | MAAC | 1 | -3.5 | 229 | 0.75 | 52 | ||
| 50 | North Carolina St. | 46 | 6.5 | ACC | 6 | 3.0 | 68 | 0.75 | 55 | ||
| 51 | Alabama | 31 | 6.5 | SEC | 5 | 5.5 | 18 | 0.74 | 28 | ||
| 52 | Stanford | 44 | 6.5 | P12 | 5 | 2.5 | 72 | 0.74 | 61 | ||
| 53 | Southern Miss | 51 | 6.5 | CUSA | 2 | 1.0 | 104 | 0.74 | 53 | ||
| 54 | San Diego St. | 53 | 6.0 | MWC | 3 | 2.5 | 71 | 0.73 | 60 | 24 | 25 |
| 55 | Tennessee | 69 | 6.0 | SEC | 6 | 3.5 | 52 | 0.73 | 73 | ||
| 56 | Oregon St. | 47 | 6.0 | P12 | 6 | 2.5 | 74 | 0.73 | 89 | ||
| 57 | Murray St. | 95 | 6.0 | OVC | 1 | -5.0 | 248 | 0.73 | 57 | 14 | 12 |
| 58 | Harvard | 42 | 6.0 | Ivy | 1 | -3.0 | 212 | 0.73 | 30 | ||
| 59 | Seton Hall | 45 | 6.0 | BE | 10 | 4.5 | 38 | 0.72 | 46 | ||
| 60 | St. Mary's | 37 | 6.0 | WCC | 3 | 0.5 | 115 | 0.72 | 48 | 23 | |
| 61 | Oregon | 71 | 5.5 | P12 | 7 | 3.5 | 55 | 0.71 | 67 | ||
| 62 | Colorado | 66 | 5.5 | P12 | 8 | 2.5 | 75 | 0.71 | 79 | ||
| 63 | Xavier | 63 | 5.0 | A10 | 3 | 3.0 | 61 | 0.70 | 58 | ||
| 64 | Cleveland St. | 70 | 5.0 | Horz | 1 | -1.5 | 167 | 0.70 | 86 | ||
Glossary
- LstWk - The team's ranking from the prior week
- GPF - Stands for "Generic Points Favored". It's what you'd expect the team to be favored by against a Div-I average opponent at a neutral site.
- Conf - The conference the team plays in and their GPF rank within that conference
- SOS - Stands for "Strength of Schedule". It's the average GPF of the teams faced thus far this season (along with the corresponding rank).
- GWP - Stands for "Generic Win Probability". I converted the GPF into a win probability using the following formula: GWP = 1/(1+exp(-GPF/6))
- KenPom - The team's rank according to kenpom.com. The best college basketball stats site you're going to find.
- AP - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the AP Top 25 poll.
- Coaches - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the ESPN/USA Today Coaches poll.
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